BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 6 Conference: (14-0) Overall: (24-2) Overall Strength = 94.93
N Date Location C Stren We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/30/2007 Home W * 111.46 82 53 2A 30 (18- 6) Garner-Hayfield 20.03 8.97
2 12/07/2007 Away W * 81.72 84 63 2A 109 ( 5-16) Belmond-Klemme -9.71 * 30.71
3 12/11/2007 Home W * 109.06 87 46 1A 35 (13- 9) North Iowa 17.62 23.38
4 12/14/2007 Away W * 86.10 79 67 1A 32 (12-10) Mason City Newman -5.33 17.33
5 12/15/2007 Home W 80.99 67 49 3A 58 ( 2-20) Estherville LC -10.45 * 28.45
6 12/18/2007 Away W * 107.64 86 52 2A 66 (16- 8) Lake Mills 16.21 17.79
7 12/20/2007 Home W 93.32 84 73 4A 37 ( 3-18) Mason City 1.88 9.12
8 01/04/2008 Home W * 67.43 62 50 2A 118 ( 3-18) Britt West Hancock -24.01 * 36.01
9 01/05/2008 Home W 95.84 85 66 3A 42 ( 9-12) Clear Lake 4.40 14.60
10 01/08/2008 Away W 104.22 77 65 3A 14 (18- 4) Cresco Crestwood 12.79 -0.79
11 01/11/2008 Away W * 89.33 77 74 2A 30 (18- 6) Garner-Hayfield -2.11 5.11
12 01/12/2008 Away W 92.72 59 41 3A 52 ( 4-17) Charles City 1.29 16.71
13 01/19/2008 Away W 94.89 70 56 3A 43 (10-11) Algona 3.46 10.54
14 01/22/2008 Home W * 73.46 67 59 2A 86 ( 7-16) Osage -17.98 * 25.98
15 01/25/2008 Away W * 103.92 73 41 1A 35 (13- 9) North Iowa 12.49 19.51
16 01/31/2008 Home W * 84.85 78 50 2A 109 ( 5-16) Belmond-Klemme -6.58 * 34.58 was 01/18 now 01/31
17 02/01/2008 Home W * 91.78 97 75 2A 66 (16- 8) Lake Mills 0.34 21.66
18 02/02/2008 Home W * 105.24 86 51 1A 32 (12-10) Mason City Newman 13.80 21.20 was 01/29 now 02/02
19 02/05/2008 Away W * 90.30 82 51 2A 118 ( 3-18) Britt West Hancock -1.14 * 32.14 was 02/04 now 02/05
20 02/08/2008 Away W * 75.32 65 59 2A 86 ( 7-16) Osage -16.11 22.11
21 02/19/2008 Home W 97.86 77 50 3A 52 ( 4-17) Charles City 6.42 20.58
22 02/21/2008 Neutral W 80.77 65 63 3A 42 ( 9-12) Clear Lake -10.66 12.66
23 02/26/2008 Neutral W 86.70 57 55 3A 29 (14- 8) Iowa Falls-Alden -4.73 6.73
24 03/04/2008 Neutral W 107.38 71 45 3A 35 (15- 9) Fairfield 15.94 10.06
25 03/06/2008 Neutral L 101.54 60 67 3A 2 (24- 3) Dubuque Wahlert 10.10 -17.10
26 03/08/2008 Neutral L 63.47 45 79 3A 4 (25- 2) Adel ADM -27.96 -6.04
Averages 91.43 73.9 57.7
Best game: 111.46 = 29 point win over Garner-Hayfield
Worst game: 63.47 = 34 point loss to Adel ADM
Team stdev: 13.08